Security

Forensic analysts in Ukraine see quality of Russian missiles declining

Despite sanctions, Russia continues to be able to import components needed for military production, but the quality and precision of Russian missiles have clearly been affected.

Andriy Kulchitskyi, director of the military research laboratory, shows parts of intercepted missiles launched at Ukraine, at Kyiv Scientific Research Institute of Forensic Expertise on January 16, amid the Russian invasion of Ukraine. [Roman Pilipey/AFP]
Andriy Kulchitskyi, director of the military research laboratory, shows parts of intercepted missiles launched at Ukraine, at Kyiv Scientific Research Institute of Forensic Expertise on January 16, amid the Russian invasion of Ukraine. [Roman Pilipey/AFP]

By AFP |

KYIV -- At a research facility in Kyiv, forensic analysts pour over the wreckage of missiles, working to confirm that despite unprecedented sanctions, Russia is still using imported components to attack Ukraine.

The courtyard of the Kyiv Scientific Research Institute of Forensic Expertise holds dozens of missiles, shells and drones, covered in a dusting of snow.

In metal-walled cabins, scientists have examined wreckage from recent attacks using microscopes, screwdrivers and computers.

The researchers -- mainly former military engineers -- have identified parts from across the globe, despite tough sanctions on Russia's technology imports.

The wreckage of intercepted missiles launched at Ukraine, including Tochka-U and Kalibr missiles, is seen partly covered in snow in the courtyard of the Kyiv Scientific Research Institute of Forensic Expertise on January 16. [Roman Pilipey/AFP]
The wreckage of intercepted missiles launched at Ukraine, including Tochka-U and Kalibr missiles, is seen partly covered in snow in the courtyard of the Kyiv Scientific Research Institute of Forensic Expertise on January 16. [Roman Pilipey/AFP]
A worker checks a part from a Kh-55 missile that was launched at Ukraine, at a laboratory of the Kyiv Scientific Research Institute of Forensic Expertise on January 16. [Roman Pilipey/AFP]
A worker checks a part from a Kh-55 missile that was launched at Ukraine, at a laboratory of the Kyiv Scientific Research Institute of Forensic Expertise on January 16. [Roman Pilipey/AFP]

AFP journalists were shown a Russian drone carburetor inscribed with "Made in Ireland" and Japanese camera lenses from a Russian Kartograf reconnaissance drone.

Russia sometimes removes foreign marks from components like microchips, said an analyst identified as Oleksiy, dismissing those efforts as pointless.

"It doesn't matter, basically," he said.

"How do you hide it? If there are thousands of these microchips, if they wipe off a few of them, what difference does it make?"

Russia imports microelectronics and other hi-tech components for its missiles because it lacks enough domestic production of sufficiently high quality.

A Ukrainian government website called War & Sanctions has a database of components found in Russian weaponry originating from more than 30 countries.

North Korea probe

'Constant pressure" is needed to prevent Russia from obtaining microelectronics intended for civilian use, said Oleksiy.

Countries involve in the trade included China, Kazakhstan and Türkiye, he added.

A report this month by Kyiv's KSE Institute and the Yermak-McFaul international working group repeated Ukraine's concerns that "Russia continues to be able to import large amounts of goods needed for military production."

The United States announced in early January that Russia's close ally North Korea had supplied Moscow with missiles that it fired on Ukraine. Kyiv has yet to confirm.

The team said the institute was awaiting fragments of the suspected North Korean missiles.

"To conduct a investigation, you need samples; you need some documentation, some technical literature," Oleksiy said.

North Korea can easily supply Russia via their shared land border, he said.

'Accuracy is missing'

There appears to be a deterioration in quality of missiles, said the scientists, who go to the scene of missile attacks in Kyiv.

In Russia's recent barrages of missiles on Ukraine's cities, strikes appear less precise, the director of the military research laboratory, Andriy Kulchitskyi, a 68-year-old former high-ranking military sapper, said.

He cited the heavy bombardment of Kyiv on January 2, during which a downed missile fell beside a block of flats near the central rail station, killing four.

"What we see from their use of their so-called high-precision weapons... [is that] accuracy is missing," he said.

"It's not necessarily linked to a lack of components. They have them," he said of Russia.

"But if they specify accuracy of seven to 10 meters and it strikes 50-100 meters away, that already means there are production problems in the Russian industry, bad missiles."

The institute's analysts were also set to examine a Russian Kh-32 cruise missile that fell in a field in the northern Sumy region bordering Russia in early January, he said.

"It just fell from the sky and broke up," he said. "It didn't carry out its operational task."

The Kyiv Institute's scientists draw up their findings in response to a request from investigators and their conclusions are handed to courts.

In the case involving civilian casualties, their findings will also go to international courts investigating war crimes.

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